GOOGL

Communication Services / Internet Content & Information
Alphabet generates revenue primarily through digital advertising (Google Search, YouTube), cloud infrastructure services, and hardware/device sales, with a diversified portfolio spanning search, video, productivity software, and experimental ventures.
Recommended: koller_dcf
$388.91
Current market price
Source: FMP +EDGAR

Market implications

What the market is baking into $388.91. Does not change with your assumptions.

Implied terminal growth (cv_g)
8.51%
solved so market model = $388.91 with the analyst inputs below
WACC (CAPM)
10.83%
β: 1.27 · Rf: 4.0% · ERP: 5.5%
Ke: 10.97% · Kd(AT): 0.20%
E/V: 98.8% · D/V: 1.2%
CV ROIC (from historical)
54.04%
CV NOPLAT = $216,559M
Tax rate / Op cash / Shares
Forecast tax: 16.8%
Op cash %: 3.0%
Shares: 12,116M
5-year consensus forecast
YearRevenue ($M)EBITDA ($M)
2025 400,299 148,514
2026 486,152 180,366
2027 578,844 214,755
2028 678,111 251,584
2029 775,788 287,823
Validation: set your view's WACC = 10.83%, cv_g = 8.51%, tax = 16.8%. Your model should produce exactly $388.91.

Your view

Yellow cells are editable.

Your model output

Model share price: $188.91
vs market: -51.4%
Enterprise value: $2,314,323M
Operating value: $2,158,029M
Continuing value: $1,717,337M
Debt: $25,461M
Excess cash: $85,156M
Residuals: B/S 0.0M · TFI 0.0M · TII 0.0M · CFI 0.0M

Forecast ratios (yellow cells)

Held constant across forecast years (H–M). Defaults are the most recent historical ratio. Override to express a different view (margin compression, working-capital efficiency, etc.).

Income statement

D&A % of revenue 4.37%
Non-op losses % of rev 0.00%

Working capital

AR % of revenue 14.95%
Unbilled rev % of rev 0.00%
Inventory % of rev 0.00%
Other CA % of rev 4.49%
AP % of rev 16.26%
Other ST liab % of rev 8.38%

Long-term assets & liab

LT investments % of rev 10.85%
Net fixed assets % of rev 48.58%
Other LT assets % of rev 13.32%
Other LT liab % of rev 3.85%

Consensus forecast (your editable copy)

Defaults are FMP analyst consensus. Edit any cell; Recalculate uses these values.

YearRevenue ($M)EBITDA ($M) EBITDA marginYoY rev growth
2025 37.1% —
2026 37.1% +21.4%
2027 37.1% +19.1%
2028 37.1% +17.1%
2029 37.1% +14.4%
CV NOPLAT: $217,453M · CV ROIC: 54.26%

Sensitivity: model price by WACC × cv_g

5×5 grid centered on your assumptions. Green cells > market, red < market. Computes 25 model runs (~10s).

Click “Run sensitivity” above.

Monte Carlo simulation

Sample WACC, cv_g, revenue multiplier, and EBITDA margin shift; see distribution of fair value.

Distribution widths (σ):
Each sample: draws values from normal distributions centered on your current assumptions, runs the full DCF, records the model price. 100 samples ≈ 60s.

Configure σ above and click “Run Monte Carlo”.

Peers (LLM-proposed comparables)

3–5 publicly-traded comps with rationale + suggested multiples. ~$0.002/call, cached 30d.

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Red flags (accounting / governance / operational / liquidity)

Severity-tiered concerns with explicit evidence. ~$0.004/call, cached 30d.

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Recent news (web search)

Material items from the last 60 days with source links. ~$0.02–0.05/call, cached 6h.

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Snapshots

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