BA

Industrials / Aerospace & Defense
Design, manufacture, and sell commercial aircraft, military defense systems, and space/launch services; generate revenue from aircraft sales, long-term service contracts, and defense contracts.
Recommended: koller_dcf
$222.20
Current market price
Source: FMP +EDGAR

Market implications

What the market is baking into $222.20. Does not change with your assumptions.

Implied terminal growth (cv_g)
Outside solver range — price may imply growth above WACC.
WACC (CAPM)
9.10%
β: 1.21 · Rf: 4.0% · ERP: 5.5%
Ke: 10.64% · Kd(AT): 4.32%
E/V: 75.7% · D/V: 24.3%
CV ROIC (from historical)
-7.07%
CV NOPLAT = $-3,522M
Tax rate / Op cash / Shares
Forecast tax: 15.1%
Op cash %: 3.0%
Shares: 762M
5-year consensus forecast
YearRevenue ($M)EBITDA ($M)
2025 88,147 -246
2026 97,723 -273
2027 112,063 -313
2028 122,921 -343
2029 133,104 -372
Validation: set your view's WACC = 9.10%, cv_g = ?%, tax = 15.1%. Your model should produce exactly $222.20.

Your view

Yellow cells are editable.

Your model output

Model share price: $-136.74
vs market: -161.5%
Enterprise value: $-50,051M
Operating value: $-70,885M
Continuing value: $-43,572M
Debt: $54,188M
Excess cash: $24,286M
Residuals: B/S 0.0M · TFI 0.0M · TII 0.0M · CFI 6.0M

Forecast ratios (yellow cells)

Held constant across forecast years (H–M). Defaults are the most recent historical ratio. Override to express a different view (margin compression, working-capital efficiency, etc.).

Income statement

D&A % of revenue 2.76%
Non-op losses % of rev 0.00%

Working capital

AR % of revenue 16.84%
Unbilled rev % of rev 0.00%
Inventory % of rev 131.62%
Other CA % of rev 4.46%
AP % of rev 28.28%
Other ST liab % of rev 115.25%

Long-term assets & liab

LT investments % of rev 1.50%
Net fixed assets % of rev 16.78%
Other LT assets % of rev 9.26%
Other LT liab % of rev 15.96%

Consensus forecast (your editable copy)

Defaults are FMP analyst consensus. Edit any cell; Recalculate uses these values.

YearRevenue ($M)EBITDA ($M) EBITDA marginYoY rev growth
2025 -0.3% —
2026 -0.3% +10.9%
2027 -0.3% +14.7%
2028 -0.3% +9.7%
2029 -0.3% +8.3%
CV NOPLAT: $-4,017M · CV ROIC: -8.06%

Sensitivity: model price by WACC × cv_g

5×5 grid centered on your assumptions. Green cells > market, red < market. Computes 25 model runs (~10s).

Click “Run sensitivity” above.

Monte Carlo simulation

Sample WACC, cv_g, revenue multiplier, and EBITDA margin shift; see distribution of fair value.

Distribution widths (σ):
Each sample: draws values from normal distributions centered on your current assumptions, runs the full DCF, records the model price. 100 samples ≈ 60s.

Configure σ above and click “Run Monte Carlo”.

Peers (LLM-proposed comparables)

3–5 publicly-traded comps with rationale + suggested multiples. ~$0.002/call, cached 30d.

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Red flags (accounting / governance / operational / liquidity)

Severity-tiered concerns with explicit evidence. ~$0.004/call, cached 30d.

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Recent news (web search)

Material items from the last 60 days with source links. ~$0.02–0.05/call, cached 6h.

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Snapshots

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