STLA

Consumer Discretionary / Automobiles & Light Commercial Vehicles
Global automotive manufacturer designing, engineering, and selling passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, and related parts/services under multiple brand portfolios, with captive financing and dealer networks.
Recommended: multiples_only
$7.53
Current market price
Source: FMP

Market implications

What the market is baking into $7.53. Does not change with your assumptions.

Implied terminal growth (cv_g)
3.24%
solved so market model = $7.53 with the analyst inputs below
WACC (CAPM)
4.77%
β: 0.99 · Rf: 4.0% · ERP: 5.5%
Ke: 9.43% · Kd(AT): 2.57%
E/V: 32.1% · D/V: 67.9%
CV ROIC (from historical)
10.43%
CV NOPLAT = $9,091M
Tax rate / Op cash / Shares
Forecast tax: —%
Op cash %: 3.0%
Shares: 2,887M
5-year consensus forecast
YearRevenue ($M)EBITDA ($M)
2025 153,168 12,720
2026 162,223 13,472
2027 167,544 13,914
2028 172,236 14,303
2029 175,173 14,547
Validation: set your view's WACC = 4.77%, cv_g = 3.24%, tax = historical%. Your model should produce exactly $7.53.

Your view

Yellow cells are editable.

Your model output

Model share price: $29.50
vs market: +291.8%
Enterprise value: $122,807M
Operating value: $86,499M
Continuing value: $57,223M
Debt: $37,227M
Excess cash: $32,377M
Residuals: B/S 0.0M · TFI 0.0M · TII 0.0M · CFI 0.0M

Forecast ratios (yellow cells)

Held constant across forecast years (H–M). Defaults are the most recent historical ratio. Override to express a different view (margin compression, working-capital efficiency, etc.).

Income statement

D&A % of revenue 4.61%
Non-op losses % of rev 0.00%

Working capital

AR % of revenue 11.80%
Unbilled rev % of rev 0.00%
Inventory % of rev 13.30%
Other CA % of rev 3.26%
AP % of rev 22.12%
Other ST liab % of rev 18.03%

Long-term assets & liab

LT investments % of rev 7.58%
Net fixed assets % of rev 27.06%
Other LT assets % of rev 11.04%
Other LT liab % of rev 16.11%

Consensus forecast (your editable copy)

Defaults are FMP analyst consensus. Edit any cell; Recalculate uses these values.

YearRevenue ($M)EBITDA ($M) EBITDA marginYoY rev growth
2025 8.3% —
2026 8.3% +5.9%
2027 8.3% +3.3%
2028 8.3% +2.8%
2029 8.3% +1.7%
CV NOPLAT: $9,091M · CV ROIC: 10.43%

Sensitivity: model price by WACC × cv_g

5×5 grid centered on your assumptions. Green cells > market, red < market. Computes 25 model runs (~10s).

Click “Run sensitivity” above.

Monte Carlo simulation

Sample WACC, cv_g, revenue multiplier, and EBITDA margin shift; see distribution of fair value.

Distribution widths (σ):
Each sample: draws values from normal distributions centered on your current assumptions, runs the full DCF, records the model price. 100 samples ≈ 60s.

Configure σ above and click “Run Monte Carlo”.

Peers (LLM-proposed comparables)

3–5 publicly-traded comps with rationale + suggested multiples. ~$0.002/call, cached 30d.

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Red flags (accounting / governance / operational / liquidity)

Severity-tiered concerns with explicit evidence. ~$0.004/call, cached 30d.

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Recent news (web search)

Material items from the last 60 days with source links. ~$0.02–0.05/call, cached 6h.

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Snapshots

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