META

Communication Services / Internet Content & Information
Meta monetizes a global user base across social media and messaging platforms (Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger) primarily through digital advertising, supplemented by Reality Labs hardware and metaverse investments.
Recommended: koller_dcf
$605.06
Current market price
Source: FMP +EDGAR

Market implications

What the market is baking into $605.06. Does not change with your assumptions.

Implied terminal growth (cv_g)
4.39%
solved so market model = $605.06 with the analyst inputs below
WACC (CAPM)
10.27%
β: 1.24 · Rf: 4.0% · ERP: 5.5%
Ke: 10.84% · Kd(AT): 0.00%
E/V: 94.8% · D/V: 5.2%
CV ROIC (from historical)
34.83%
CV NOPLAT = $105,714M
Tax rate / Op cash / Shares
Forecast tax: 29.6%
Op cash %: 3.0%
Shares: 2,521M
5-year consensus forecast
YearRevenue ($M)EBITDA ($M)
2025 199,565 90,922
2026 252,819 115,185
2027 301,218 137,235
2028 351,184 160,000
2029 405,635 184,808
Validation: set your view's WACC = 10.27%, cv_g = 4.39%, tax = 29.6%. Your model should produce exactly $605.06.

Your view

Yellow cells are editable.

Your model output

Model share price: $521.95
vs market: -13.7%
Enterprise value: $1,364,885M
Operating value: $1,266,302M
Continuing value: $1,034,985M
Debt: $49,060M
Excess cash: $72,880M
Residuals: B/S 0.0M · TFI 0.0M · TII 0.0M · CFI 0.0M

Forecast ratios (yellow cells)

Held constant across forecast years (H–M). Defaults are the most recent historical ratio. Override to express a different view (margin compression, working-capital efficiency, etc.).

Income statement

D&A % of revenue 9.42%
Non-op losses % of rev 0.00%

Working capital

AR % of revenue 10.33%
Unbilled rev % of rev 0.00%
Inventory % of rev 0.00%
Other CA % of rev 3.18%
AP % of rev 9.60%
Other ST liab % of rev 9.64%

Long-term assets & liab

LT investments % of rev 3.69%
Net fixed assets % of rev 70.54%
Other LT assets % of rev 19.66%
Other LT liab % of rev 7.72%

Consensus forecast (your editable copy)

Defaults are FMP analyst consensus. Edit any cell; Recalculate uses these values.

YearRevenue ($M)EBITDA ($M) EBITDA marginYoY rev growth
2025 45.6% —
2026 45.6% +26.7%
2027 45.6% +19.1%
2028 45.6% +16.6%
2029 45.6% +15.5%
CV NOPLAT: $132,601M · CV ROIC: 43.69%

Sensitivity: model price by WACC × cv_g

5×5 grid centered on your assumptions. Green cells > market, red < market. Computes 25 model runs (~10s).

Click “Run sensitivity” above.

Monte Carlo simulation

Sample WACC, cv_g, revenue multiplier, and EBITDA margin shift; see distribution of fair value.

Distribution widths (σ):
Each sample: draws values from normal distributions centered on your current assumptions, runs the full DCF, records the model price. 100 samples ≈ 60s.

Configure σ above and click “Run Monte Carlo”.

Peers (LLM-proposed comparables)

3–5 publicly-traded comps with rationale + suggested multiples. ~$0.002/call, cached 30d.

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Red flags (accounting / governance / operational / liquidity)

Severity-tiered concerns with explicit evidence. ~$0.004/call, cached 30d.

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Recent news (web search)

Material items from the last 60 days with source links. ~$0.02–0.05/call, cached 6h.

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Snapshots

No saved snapshots yet.