GOOGL

Communication Services / Internet Content & Information
Alphabet generates revenue primarily through digital advertising (Google Search, YouTube), cloud infrastructure services, and hardware/software products, with a diversified portfolio spanning consumer applications, enterprise solutions, and experimental ventures.
Recommended: koller_dcf
$357.18
Current market price
Source: FMP +EDGAR

Market implications

What the market is baking into $357.18. Does not change with your assumptions.

Implied terminal growth (cv_g)
7.70%
solved so market model = $357.18 with the analyst inputs below
WACC (CAPM)
10.71%
β: 1.25 · Rf: 4.0% · ERP: 5.5%
Ke: 10.86% · Kd(AT): 0.20%
E/V: 98.6% · D/V: 1.4%
CV ROIC (from historical)
45.54%
CV NOPLAT = $220,047M
Tax rate / Op cash / Shares
Forecast tax: 16.8%
Op cash %: 3.0%
Shares: 12,116M
5-year consensus forecast
YearRevenue ($M)EBITDA ($M)
2025 400,299 148,514
2026 486,936 180,657
2027 582,236 216,014
2028 682,189 253,097
2029 788,283 292,458
Validation: set your view's WACC = 10.71%, cv_g = 7.70%, tax = 16.8%. Your model should produce exactly $357.18.

Your view

Yellow cells are editable.

Your model output

Model share price: $184.63
vs market: -48.3%
Enterprise value: $2,262,397M
Operating value: $2,139,258M
Continuing value: $1,729,262M
Debt: $25,461M
Excess cash: $85,156M
Residuals: B/S 0.0M · TFI 0.0M · TII 0.0M · CFI 0.0M

Forecast ratios (yellow cells)

Held constant across forecast years (H–M). Defaults are the most recent historical ratio. Override to express a different view (margin compression, working-capital efficiency, etc.).

Income statement

D&A % of revenue 4.37%
Non-op losses % of rev 0.00%

Working capital

AR % of revenue 14.95%
Unbilled rev % of rev 0.00%
Inventory % of rev 0.00%
Other CA % of rev 4.49%
AP % of rev 16.26%
Other ST liab % of rev 8.38%

Long-term assets & liab

LT investments % of rev 10.85%
Net fixed assets % of rev 48.58%
Other LT assets % of rev 13.32%
Other LT liab % of rev 3.85%

Consensus forecast (your editable copy)

Defaults are FMP analyst consensus. Edit any cell; Recalculate uses these values.

YearRevenue ($M)EBITDA ($M) EBITDA marginYoY rev growth
2025 37.1% —
2026 37.1% +21.6%
2027 37.1% +19.6%
2028 37.1% +17.2%
2029 37.1% +15.6%
CV NOPLAT: $220,955M · CV ROIC: 45.72%

Sensitivity: model price by WACC × cv_g

5×5 grid centered on your assumptions. Green cells > market, red < market. Computes 25 model runs (~10s).

Click “Run sensitivity” above.

Monte Carlo simulation

Sample WACC, cv_g, revenue multiplier, and EBITDA margin shift; see distribution of fair value.

Distribution widths (σ):
Each sample: draws values from normal distributions centered on your current assumptions, runs the full DCF, records the model price. 100 samples ≈ 60s.

Configure σ above and click “Run Monte Carlo”.

Peers (LLM-proposed comparables)

3–5 publicly-traded comps with rationale + suggested multiples. ~$0.002/call, cached 30d.

▸ expand

Red flags (accounting / governance / operational / liquidity)

Severity-tiered concerns with explicit evidence. ~$0.004/call, cached 30d.

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Recent news (web search)

Material items from the last 60 days with source links. ~$0.02–0.05/call, cached 6h.

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Snapshots

No saved snapshots yet.